Numbers shapes as a leading contender for the BMW Hong Kong Derby (2000m) this Sunday, but jockey Derek Leung has sounded a note of caution, insisting that race tempo could prove decisive in the HK$26 million feature at Sha Tin.
Trained by Frankie Lor, the progressive gelding has quickly made his presence felt in Hong Kong, compiling two wins, a third and a fourth from just four starts. His authoritative success in February’s Centenary Vase Handicap stamped him as a genuine Classic prospect, while his fourth-place finish in the Hong Kong Classic Cup came under circumstances that did not entirely suit.
Leung, who has partnered Numbers in each of his local runs, believes the experience gained last time will be invaluable heading into the BMW Hong Kong Derby.
“He ran a fast tempo in the Hong Kong Classic Cup, and it wasn’t simple for him,” Leung explained. “But now we understand him better and know how to judge things more effectively.”
BMW Hong Kong Derby Hinges on Early Tempo
The early stages of the BMW Hong Kong Derby are expected to shape the outcome, with Leung predicting a more measured pace compared to the previous Classic leg.
“I don’t think it will be as quick this time,” he said. “Quite a few horses will want to be handy and secure good positions, so the first turn is going to be very important.”
Drawn in barrier 13, Numbers faces a tactical challenge, but his proven stamina offers reassurance. He is one of only two runners in the field with prior experience over the Derby distance in Hong Kong, having already secured a Class 2 victory over the course and distance in December.
“The draw hasn’t helped,” Leung admitted. “But I’ll still try to go forward a bit. He handles the trip, and I’m confident he’ll run very well.”
Lor shares similar views, pointing to the tempo in the Classic Cup as a key factor in Numbers’ previous performance.
“The first section was a bit quick for him,” the trainer noted. “He still ran well to finish fourth. Over 2000 metres, I think the jockey can settle him better.”
Lor’s hand in the BMW Hong Kong Derby is strengthened by the presence of Stormy Grove, the surprise winner of the Hong Kong Classic Cup. The pair offer contrasting racing styles, a factor the trainer believes could work to his advantage.
“Numbers will go forward, and Stormy Grove will come from behind. That balance is good for us,” he said.
Stormy Grove’s rider, Harry Bentley, is hopeful of another strong showing, provided the race unfolds favourably.
“We’ll stick to the same plan and ride him patiently,” Bentley said. “If the tempo is even and smooth, he can produce that turn of foot again.”
Lor also highlighted the challenges faced in preparing Stormy Grove for Hong Kong racing, noting the adjustments required after his overseas career.
He will also saddle Regal Gem, a three-time sprint winner stepping up in trip, adding further depth to his Derby team.
The 14-runner field for the BMW Hong Kong Derby also includes Little Paradise, Sagacious Life, Invincible Ibis, Patch Of Cosmo, Beauty Bolt, Emblazon, Top Dragon, Juneau Pride, Dazzling Fit and Pope Cody, ensuring a competitive renewal of Hong Kong’s most prestigious Classic.
Sunday’s 10-race programme at Sha Tin begins with the Luger Handicap at 1pm, with the BMW Hong Kong Derby scheduled as Race 7 at 4.05pm.
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